Last month, we asked if the Latino electorate could represent an “October surprise.” The more appropriate term might be “November surprise” according to an Univision/Reuters/Zogby poll released today:In the final stretch to the presidential election, more than three quarters of likely Hispanic voters say they support Democrat Barack Obama over Republican John McCain, a study found…The survey conducted last week also found the economy was the most vital topic in this election for Latinos, followed by health care and immigration.
78 percent of a sample of 1,016 Latino likely voters favored Sen. Obama, with 13 percent supporting McCain, an Arizona senator…
Hispanics make up 15 percent of the U.S. population and 9 percent of the electorate, and could be a critical swing voting bloc in battleground states in the U.S. Southwest as well as Florida on Tuesday.
Image- CNN
Sources- The Latin Americanist, Reuters
1,000 people represent all Latino's?
ReplyDeleteI think not!
Horrible poll, horrible post. The assumption that Latino's are represented by such a low number of people taking a poll is just idiotic.
Admittedly, indivudal polls should be taken with a grain of salt. As you rightly note, the sample size is smaller than other polls.
ReplyDeleteYet previous polls with larger sample sizes have generally indicated greater Latino support for Obama over McCain.
Though the 1000 respondents appears like a small amount, note that the sample was of likely Latino voters and conducted days before Election Day. Thus, the results could be interpreted as more accurate than polls taken weeks or months ago using registered voters or the general Latino populace.
In the end, the ultimate poll is via today's election. We'll have to wait and see what happens.